Thursday, September 22, 2016

GAMBLING CORNER: Week 3



It was the tale of two days last weekend. A perfect 3-0 with the college picks with 3 very easy wins. Bringing up my year to date total with the college picks to 5-1. If you aren't listening to my college picks and making money; SHAME ON YOU! Now if you are ignoring my NFL picks then you are brilliant as I have been bad with my pro picks through 2 weeks. In a bit of a slump with the pro's but I will look to bounce back this week.

Let's get right to this weeks picks.


COLLEGE FOOTBALL          (HOME team in CAPS)

Clemson -10 over GEORGIA TECH
Clemson has been sleep walking a bit this year up until last week when they played a horrible team and just destroyed them. This is their last game before they get Louisville so Clemson will want to play well here and beat a good team. GT looked horrible the first game of the year vs Boston College and while they won easily last week over Vandy....Clemson ain't Vandy. Clemson with a big statement win here on Thursday night vs GT. I like Clemson big.

Florida St -5 over SOUTH FLORIDA
This might be the lock of the year. You have Florida St coming off an embarrassing loss to Louisville and you have South Florida who is coming off a nice win vs Syracuse but was also down 17-0 to Syracuse and had a slow start. If South Florida has a slow start here they will lose 60-0 and won't be climbing back into this game like they did last week. Take Florida St and lay the 5.

VIRGINIA TECH -12.5 over East Carolina
The number is big here but VT was very good to me last week. A TD favorite that won 49-0, so I am gonna ride the hot hand. East Carolina is a decent team, just not sure if they can hang within two touchdowns on the road vs a good ACC school. Give me VT.

YEAR TO DATE RECORD: 5-1


NFL FOOTBALL

CINCINNATI -3.5 over Denver
The Bengals opened up with road games against the Jets and Steelers. That is no easy task and they looked good in both games. Denver is 2-0 but I want to see Trevor Siemian do something on the road and play a road game. I don't trust him yet. The Bengals are without Demarcus Ware and they have a young QB in his first real road test. The Bengals are a legit defense and a solid NFL team. I don't expect a lot of points to be scored in this game and if it comes down to a field goal I am screwed as I am giving up the hook, but I am taking my chances and taking the Bengals in their home opener.

New York Jets +3 over KANSAS CITY
I haven't been overly impressed with KC this year. They got lucky week 1 and then lost week 2. The Jets almost beat Cincy week 1 then destroyed Buffalo last week and have the mini-bye with the extra days rest. The Jets have the better offense (by far) and the better defense (by far). The wrong team is favored here, I think the Jets win outright so the +3 is a gift.

DALLAS -7 over Chicago
The Bears suck. Like really really suck and now they have a back-up QB to boot. Dallas will run right, run left, run up the middle....and repeat. They will run up and down the field on a horrible Bears defense and win this game easily. 7 points is too low a point spread. Take the boys at home.

BONUS PICK: That's right I'm in a slump with my NFL picks so a special bonus 4th NFL game this week to bust the slump. I said week one that you bet against Belichick at your own risk. I did, I lost, I got burned. I said last week I would never do it again. And I wouldn't, but then their QB went down and they are on their 3rd string QB vs a great defense. In order for me to bust this slump I need to go big. Give me Houston EVEN over NEW ENGLAND

YEAR TO DATE RECORD: 3-3


Points spread curtesy of the Wynn Casino and Sportsbook

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